What are interest rates telling us?
In the world of finance, the relationship between the Official Cash Rate and bond yields typically follows a predictable pattern: when the RBA or the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates,…
In the world of finance, the relationship between the Official Cash Rate and bond yields typically follows a predictable pattern: when the RBA or the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates,…
It was a great financial year for markets. Although things looked a bit shaky in September and October 2023 it was in early November that the markets perked up, and…
Our first chart in this update shows the 12 month returns for some of the major markets that investors generally have exposure to. (we use these common exchange traded funds…
Share markets have posted solid returns in the financial year ended 30 June. While the month of June 2022 was a shocker, where the ASX fell 8.25% and the S&P500…
An old fashioned bank run – accelerated by rumours that spread at internet speed and massive withdrawals – hit Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on Thursday. Depositors pulled a massive $48…
This has been, by most accounts, a terrible year for markets. Global equities are down, bonds are terrible, and property prices are coming under pressure. So far it has been…
Stocks are in a bear market and with the energy crisis not improving, the odds are that many G7 countries are headed into a recession. Investor and consumer sentiment readings…
What have we learned from past rate hike cycles? In this post I dive into some of the details that are important for you to understand.
Just in case you think I’ve gone batty, I have the charts to prove it! When all the world is talking about rates rising, the mysterious bond market is doing…
In recent months the US first quarter GDP was revised to -1.6%. The Q2 results are not yet in, but the Atlanta Fed publish a ‘GDPNow’ data series that is…